The Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) is India's largest commodity derivatives exchange. It allows traders and hedgers to buy and sell futures contracts on commodities like gold, silver, crude oil, natural gas, copper, and agricultural products.
| Lot Size | 1 kg |
| Quote | ₹ per 10 grams |
| Delivery | Ahmedabad |
| Expiry | 5th of expiry month |
| Margin (approx) | 4–5% of contract value |
| Lot Size | 100 barrels |
| Quote | ₹ per barrel |
| Delivery | Mumbai |
| Expiry | 19th or 20th of month |
| Margin (approx) | 5–8% of contract value |
MCX shows prices for multiple expiry months simultaneously. The nearest expiry is called the near month contract. As it approaches expiry, traders roll over to the next month.
The difference between spot price and futures price is called the basis. A positive basis (futures above spot) is normal — called contango. Negative basis (futures below spot) is backwardation.
Naturally occurring, mined or extracted resources. These tend to have longer shelf lives and more liquid futures markets.
Agricultural and livestock products. Highly sensitive to weather, monsoon, and seasonal patterns. India's agri markets are regulated by SEBI and NCDEX.
When futures prices are higher than the spot price. This is the normal state for most commodities because of storage costs and financing. A crude oil futures contract 3 months out will typically trade above today's spot price.
When futures prices are lower than spot price. This happens when there is strong immediate demand or supply shortage. Crude oil went into backwardation during the Russia-Ukraine supply shock.
When a futures trader rolls from an expiring contract to the next month, they gain (backwardation) or lose (contango) on the roll. Commodity ETFs suffer from negative roll yield in contango markets — a hidden cost most investors overlook.
Basis = Spot Price − Futures Price. Hedgers care deeply about basis risk — the risk that the basis changes unexpectedly before their hedge is lifted. A farmer who hedges wheat may still lose if local spot prices diverge from exchange prices.
India's agri commodity prices are deeply linked to the monsoon cycle. IMD's June forecast moves chana, soybean, and cotton prices even before the crop is planted. Key seasonal patterns:
India consumes ~800–900 tonnes of gold annually. Gold is priced internationally in USD/troy oz but trades on MCX in ₹/10g. The spread between international prices and MCX includes: import duty (currently 6%), GST (3%), and INR/USD exchange rate. When the rupee depreciates, MCX gold rises even if international prices are flat.
Hedging means taking an opposite position in futures to protect against adverse price moves in the physical (spot) market. It doesn't eliminate all risk — but it converts price risk into basis risk, which is smaller and more predictable.
A swap is a private contract between two parties to exchange cash flows over a period of time. Unlike options or futures traded on exchanges, most swaps are OTC (over-the-counter) — negotiated directly between parties, usually with a bank as intermediary.
The key idea: both parties believe the exchange benefits them. One party wants certainty (fixed payments), the other is willing to take risk for potential savings (floating payments). Neither is speculating on the other — they have different needs.
An IRS is the most common swap. Two parties exchange interest payments on a notional amount — one pays a fixed rate, the other pays a floating rate (linked to a benchmark like MIBOR or SOFR). No principal is exchanged — only the interest differential.
LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) was the global benchmark for floating rates for decades — used in $350 trillion of contracts. In 2012, it emerged that major banks had been manipulating LIBOR submissions. The scandal led to its abolition.
SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) replaced USD LIBOR in June 2023. It's based on actual overnight repo transactions — harder to manipulate. In India, MIBOR (Mumbai Interbank Offered Rate) is the domestic benchmark, now transitioning to a reformed overnight rate.
A currency swap involves exchanging principal and interest payments in one currency for principal and interest in another. Unlike IRS, principal is usually exchanged at the start and re-exchanged at maturity. Used by multinationals to raise cheaper debt in foreign markets.
A CDS is essentially insurance against a borrower defaulting. The protection buyer pays a periodic premium (the CDS spread). The protection seller receives that premium and pays out if the reference entity defaults. The 2008 financial crisis was triggered partly by unregulated CDS on mortgage bonds.
Banks packaged subprime mortgages into bonds (CDOs) and sold CDS on them — often without holding capital against potential payouts. When mortgage defaults cascaded, CDS sellers like AIG could not pay. The US government bailed out AIG for $182 billion. Post-2008, CDS are now centrally cleared through CCPs to reduce counterparty risk.
One party pays the return on an equity index or stock. The other pays a fixed or floating rate. Used by fund managers to get equity exposure without owning the stock — no stamp duty, no voting rights, but full economic exposure. Common in index replication and synthetic ETFs.
The total return receiver gets all the economic benefits of an asset — price appreciation plus dividends — without owning it. The total return payer (usually a bank) receives a fixed or floating rate. This is how hedge funds use leverage without appearing on balance sheets.
RBI uses forex swaps to manage domestic liquidity. In a buy-sell swap, RBI buys USD from banks (selling rupees) and agrees to sell USD back at a future date. This injects rupee liquidity into the system — an alternative to traditional OMOs (open market operations).
India's most liquid swap market. One party pays a fixed rate, the other pays the compounded overnight MIBOR rate. OIS rates are closely watched because they reflect market expectations of RBI's repo rate path. When OIS rates fall below the repo rate, the market is pricing in rate cuts.
See how fixed and floating payments flow between two parties over the life of an Interest Rate Swap.
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